Turmoil and Transformation is an industry benchmark study on the outlook for the oil and gas industry in 2021. Definitely. Energy use in homes, commercial buildings, manufacturing, and transportation. The oil industry entered 2020 with the wind seemingly at its back. So, while the industry will surely continue activating more drilling rigs during the final 8 months of 2021, no one should expect the current Enverus Daily Rig Count, which stands at 524, to rocket back up over 1,000, where it was during the last boom. Crude oil, gasoline, heating oil, diesel, propane, and other liquids including biofuels and natural gas liquids. He is the resident energy expert on the "In The Oil Patch" radio program, and executes frequent public speaking engagements around the state of Texas and at conferences. Energy & Financial Markets: What Drives Crude Oil Prices? Associated natural gas production from oil-directed wells in the Permian Basin will fall because of lower West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices and reduced drilling activity in the first quarter of 2021. Looking ahead, 2021 oil demand is expected to recover strongly but remain lower than it was at pre–COVID-19 levels—about 4% lower in the base case, and about 7% lower in Rystad Energy’s second-wave scenario. EIA estimates that annual U.S. marketed natural gas production will decline another 2% to average 95.9 billion cubic feet per day (Bcf/d) in 2021. Greenhouse gas data, voluntary reporting, electric power plant emissions. Despite the March uptick, the outlook is not good for tight oil production in the state, with only 14 rigs running (source: Baker Hughes). The MVP is scheduled to enter service in late 2021, delivering natural gas from producing regions in northwestern West Virginia to southern Virginia. Regional energy information including dashboards, maps, data, and analyses. To access the remainder of Let's Get It Started - The 2021 Outlook For Permian Oil and Gas Markets you must be logged as a RBN Backstage Pass™ subscriber.. Full access to the RBN Energy blog archive which includes any posting more than 5 days old is available only to RBN Backstage Pass™ subscribers. May 03, 2021 (Heraldkeepers) -- Projected and forecast revenue … He attended Texas A&I University and The University of Texas, earning B.A. The Oil-and-Gas Pipeline Steel Market report includes a large database of potential market forecasts focused on historical data analysis. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images). The ongoing consolidation in the industry continued this week with another big merger. martin thomas loomans says: March 14, 2021 at 11:02 am. February 4, 2021 Responses to the COVID-19 pandemic led to supply and demand disruptions. In its January 2021 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that annual U.S. crude oil production will average 11.1 million b/d in 2021, down 0.2 million b/d from 2020 as result of a decline in drilling activity related to low oil prices. In an email, Senior M&A Analyst for Enverus Andrew Dittmar noted that the more positive economic outlook has had the effect of making privately-held companies like Alta more attractive takeover targets: “The splurge in private company buying is likely being fueled by a rosy outlook for economic activity in 2021 driving commodity prices higher,” Dittmar noted. Sign up for email subcriptions to receive messages about specific EIA products. Forecast increases in global oil supply will contribute to a mostly balanced market during the second … In fact, while natural gas prices during 2021 may have an increase of 20 or 30% (the low starting point makes this level of increase a fairly minor positive), oil prices will likely meander around in the 40-to-50-dollar range. All Rights Reserved, This is a BETA experience. About the research. acquiring DoublePoint Energy in the Permian, and now this deal.”, Enverus expects the trend of consolidation across the shale basins to continue throughout 2021, citing the likelihood of strong commodity prices and the highly-fractured ownership in those regions, that Dittmar says leaves “...additional running room for further deals that should benefit producers by building economies of scale.”. The Zacks Oil and Gas - Production & Pipelines is a 13-stock group within the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector. As part of the deal, EQT also acquired significant midstream assets consisting of about 300 miles of owned and operated gas gathering lines with 630 MMcf/d throughput capacity, as well as a 100-mile freshwater system with 255 million gallons of storage capacity. Instead, it was focused on natural gas assets in the prolific Marcellus Shale region, the largest natural gas-producing basin in North America. David has enjoyed a 39-year career in the oil and gas industry, the last 23 years of which were spent in the public policy arena, managing regulatory and legislative issues for various companies, including Burlington Resources, Shell, El Paso Corporation, FTI Consulting and LINN Energy. The United States set annual natural gas production records in 2018 and 2019, largely because of increased drilling in shale and tight oil formations. “In addition, a strong rally in public E&P equities in late 2020 and early 2021 has shifted the value proposition between public and private acquisitions with public companies now appearing relatively more expensive. The text or links to all of David’s writings and podcasts can be found at www.dbdailyupdate.com. Posted March 23, 2021 Canada’s oil and gas industry workforce can expect to see some further contraction in 2021 but modest employment growth will follow over 2022 and 2023, says a labour market outlook recently released by PetroLMI. David Blackmon is an independent energy analyst/consultant based in Mansfield, TX. 2021 Outlook Despite the issues confronting the industry, 75 percent of respondents believe the industry will be better (44 percent) or about the same (31 percent) one year from now. Come test out some of the products still in development and let us know what you think! The industry has also seen an increase in safety and training technologies and, in relation to the current pandemic, a higher demand for personal protective equipment (PPE). Send your feedback to, Residential Energy Consumption Survey (RECS), Commercial Buildings Energy Consumption Survey (CBECS). Oil and Gas Industry Outlook 2021 Exploring oil and gas trends and the impact of COVID-19 The oil and gas industry is used to the highs and lows of economic cycles. EIA expects crude oil production in the U.S. Lower 48 states to decline through the first quarter of 2021 and then increase through the rest of the forecast period. The winter of 2020–21 had more natural gas withdrawn from storage than the five-year average largely as a result of the cold February temperatures that occurred amid low natural gas production. State energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. He is currently Associate Editor for Shale Magazine (www.shalemag.com), a contributor on energy-related matters at Forbes.com, and a feature writer for World Oil Magazine. A count of 650 to 700 by year’s end seems possible, though, and that would be a healthy situation for everyone involved. 2021 oil and gas industry outlook 6 Natural gas is wedged between decarbonization efforts and renewables focus In 2020, US natural gas prices are expected to average at a 21-year low of about $2.14/MMBtu, with international gas prices converging within the $1–2/ MMBtu range.22 With the cleanest fossil fuel available at the lowest price, the 2021 Outlook. EIA forecasts the Henry Hub price will increase from $2.00 per million British thermal units (MMBtu) in 2020 to $3.01/MMBtu in 2021 and to $3.27/MMBtu in 2022, which will likely prompt an increase in Appalachia's natural gas production. During this time, David has led numerous industry-wide efforts to address a variety of issues at the local, state and federal level, and from April 2010 through June 2012, he served as the Texas State Lead for America’s Natural Gas Alliance. Uranium fuel, nuclear reactors, generation, spent fuel. EIA estimates that natural gas inventories ended March 2021 at nearly 1.8 Tcf, which is 2% lower than the five-year (2016–20) average. Energy storage is becoming one of the fastest-growing asset classes in … Regarding their own business outlook for 2021, about 70% are neutral (38%) or … Are oil and gas trends 2021 worth considering? Monthly and yearly energy forecasts, analysis of energy topics, financial analysis, congressional reports. Between 2019 and 2021, employment within the industry decreased in … The increase in production led to higher volumes of natural gas in storage and a decrease in natural gas prices. in accounting in 1979. Exploration and reserves, storage, imports and exports, production, prices, sales. However, natural gas production in Appalachia may be limited by pipeline constraints in 2021 if the Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) is delayed. Crude oil prices were in the $60s, fueled by the view that demand growth was on track to accelerate. Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Gloomy Outlook. Financial market analysis and financial data for major energy companies. With 2020 coming to a close, many businesses are left anticipating and gearing up for what … In its January 2021 Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO), the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) forecasts that annual U.S. crude oil production will average 11.1 million b/d in 2021, down 0.2 million b/d from 2020 as result of a decline in drilling activity related to low oil prices.A production decline in 2021 would mark the second consecutive year of production declines. (Photo by Robert Nickelsberg/Getty Images), The Leukemia & Lymphoma Society BrandVoice, The Next Step | Small Business Video Series, Panic Buying Is Causing Fuel Shortages Along The Colonial Pipeline Route, Electric Cooperatives, The Lone Shining Utility Star Of The Texas 2021 Winter Storm, Colonial Pipeline Cyber Attack Points To Larger Security Concerns, The Colonial Pipeline Outage: An Important Lesson For US Energy Security, The Colonial Pipeline Hack Is A Problem Not A Crisis, After Colonial Cyberattack, Time For Oil Traders To Reassess Risk, Pipeline Cyber Attack Demands Reevaluation Of U.S. Infrastructure Security, FBI: Colonial Pipeline Hacked By ‘Apolitical’ Group DarkSide. This combination of factors holds the promise of a big, record-setting year for the U.S. oil and gas sector. Comprehensive data summaries, comparisons, analysis, and projections integrated across all energy sources. Oil 2021, the IEA’s latest medium-term outlook, explains why. Maps, tools, and resources related to energy disruptions and infrastructure. Look Into the Future - The 2021 Outlook for Key Midstream-Sector Players. This can be best viewed in our Supply Projection dashboard: Tight oil outlook in North Dakota, based on the current rig count and well/rig productivity. Like exploration and production companies, refiners, and others in the energy space, midstreamers have seen their well-considered plans for 2020 … The deal will add 1 billion cubic feet of natural gas production per day to EQT’s portfolio, and will generate $550-$600 million projected annual adjusted EBITDA for the company. Reports requested by congress or otherwise deemed important. That outlook had many oil producers planning to drill more wells so that they could capture higher prices. February 8, 2021 EIA projects renewables share of U.S. electricity generation mix will double by 2050. Tags: World Oil Supply And Price Outlook, March 2021. EIA's free and open data available as API, Excel add-in, bulk files, and widgets. Sales, revenue and prices, power plants, fuel use, stocks, generation, trade, demand & emissions. Includes hydropower, solar, wind, geothermal, biomass and ethanol. Lesson plans, science fair experiments, field trips, teacher guide, and career corner. The real reason the gas prices are going up at the pumps is that the sheiks realize that as soon as the ev’s dominate, the need for their oil will decrease infinitely! February 11, 2021 EIA’s AEO2021 shows U.S. energy-related CO2 emissions rising after the mid-2030s. International energy information, including overviews, rankings, data, and analyses. Apr 15, 2021 (Heraldkeepers) -- The AI in Oil and Gas market report provides a detailed analysis of global market size, regional and country-level … Short, timely articles with graphics on energy, facts, issues, and trends. About the research. “While in 2020 this nearly entirely took the form of public-public E&P consolidation, in 2021 the focus so far has been on rolling up private operators. ROBINSON TOWNSHIP, PENNSYLVANIA - OCTOBER 26: A hydraulic fracturing drilling pad for oil and gas ... [+] operates October 26, 2017 in Robinson Township, Pennsylvania. That includes Enerplus’ purchase of Bruin E&P in the Bakken, Pioneer Natural Resources The domestic oil and gas boom of 2021 continues into May, driven by strong crude oil prices that most analysts think will get stronger, recovering global demand, and by fiscal discipline being practiced by the big shale producers. 1,010 senior oil and gas professionals surveyed; 79 countries represented; Rystad projects that hydrocarbon sales from wells in the Permian Basin alone could reach $110 billion, and also factors in estimates for all shale and tight wells in the Bakken, Niobrara, Marcellus and Anadarko regions of the country. U.S. Despite the issues confronting the industry, 75 percent of respondents believe the industry will be better (44%) or about the same (31%) one year from now. In 2021, China boasted an estimated oil and gas workforce of 86 million people strong. © 2021 Forbes Media LLC. PXD Reserves, production, prices, employment and productivity, distribution, stocks, imports and exports. Corporate and asset deals were roughly equal based on deal value. ... but that has to worry the total oil industry! Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions, Energy-Related Carbon Dioxide Emissions at the State Level, through 2018, New fossil fuel consumption by source and sector chart for 2020, Underground Natural Gas Working Storage Capacity, Monthly Crude Oil and Natural Gas Production ›, Midwest and Rocky Mountain Transportation Fuels Markets, East Coast and Gulf Coast Transportation Fuels Markets, U.S. oil and natural gas production to fall in 2021, then rise in 2022. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. Forms EIA uses to collect energy data including descriptions, links to survey instructions, and additional information. Subscribe to feeds for updates on EIA products including Today in Energy and What's New. There’s no question, the pressures on many U.S. midstream companies have been steadily increasing for some time now, and the past few months have really tested them. Is digital transformation in oil and gas inevitable? 1 . Oil and gas 2021 deals outlook improving as the industry recovers Over the last twelve months (LTM) there were 82 oil and gas deals totaling $122.9 billion, down 41% year-over-year with 80% of deal value occurring in 2H, and led by mega deals in upstream and downstream. Zacks Industry Rank Indicates Bearish Outlook. The pandemic has made the answer straight. Read our oil and gas industry outlook 2021. As more new wells come online later in 2021, new well production will exceed the decline in legacy wells, driving the increase in overall crude oil production after the first quarter of 2021. Maps by energy source and topic, includes forecast maps. For 2021, world oil demand is expected to increase by nearly 6.0 million b/d from 2020, or 7%, to average 96.5 million b/d. The oil and gas industry experienced significant changes throughout 2020, from digital transformation to cloud migration. Natural gas production from dry regions such as Appalachia depends on the Henry Hub price. These factors and more also leave additional running room for the U.S. oil and gas boom of 2021 to keep running into 2022. The improved stock prices also give public buyers a more potent currency when forking equity over to their private counterparts.”, Dittmar also notes that the same economies of scale and proximity of operations considerations that have driven so many recent Permian-based mergers are also key drivers to the EQT/Alta deal: Consolidating production and acreage has been a core focus for E&Ps looking to capture economies of scale and reduce their cost structure,” Dittmar said. The firm issued a report this week projecting that the sector’s aggregated pre-hedging revenues could reach a record $195 billion during 2021, surpassing the previous record of $191 billion set during the previous big boom in 2019. Interestingly, this one was not centered in the Permian Basin, where so much industry M&A activity has taken place over the past few years. Buckle up. operates October 26, 2017 in Robinson Township, Pennsylvania. David Blackmon is an independent energy analyst/consultant based in Mansfield, TX. A production decline in 2021 would mark the second consecutive year of production declines. The fall in production will reverse in 2022, when EIA estimates that natural gas production will rise by 2% to 97.6 Bcf/d. Natural gas takeaway capacity in the region is quickly filling up since the Atlantic Coast Pipeline was canceled in mid-2020. Global Oil and Gas CAPEX Outlook Report 2021: Growth, Trends, and Forecast 2020-2025 - Upstream Sector to Dominate the Market - ResearchAndMarkets.com Read full article April 7, 2021… In addition to client-related work, David also maintains a growing media communications practice. EIA expects crude oil production to increase in 2022 by 0.4 million b/d because of increased drilling as prices remain at or near $50 per barrel (b). February 16, 2021 Growing industrial consumption and exports support future U.S. natural gas market growth. So, make sure you drive your efforts in the right direction. EIA’s forecast for crude oil production is separated into three regions: the Lower 48 states excluding the Federal Gulf of Mexico (GOM) (81% of 2019 crude oil production), the GOM (15%), and Alaska (4%). The outlook for the oil and gas industry in 2021. Also important: Rystad sees corporate fiscal discipline in the sector continuing throughout 2021, saying in a release that “While hydrocarbon sales, cash from operations and EBITDA for tight oil producers are all testing new record highs in the $60 per barrel WTI environment, capital expenditure is not growing exponentially as producers remain committed to maintaining operational discipline.”, Artem Abramov, head of shale research at Rystad Energy, adds, “Corporate reinvestment rates are generally expected to be in the 60-70% range this year due to debt servicing and hedging losses.”. David has enjoyed a 39-year career in the oil and gas industry, the last 23 years of. Oil-and-Gas Pipeline Steel Market Future Outlook of Statistics on Industry Growth till 2027. rmoz May 11, 2021. Trends Transforming The Oil and Gas Industry Outlook in 2021 The downturn caused by COVID-19, however, is unlike any other. Rapid changes in behaviour from the pandemic and a stronger drive by governments towards a low-carbon future have caused a dramatic downward shift in expectations for oil demand over the next six years. The impact of the 2020 crisis is, however, expected to have repercussions on the medium-term growth potential, resulting in about 75 bcm of lost growth … According to S&P Global Ratings Industry Top Trends 2021: Oil and Gas report, the outlook for the global upstream and refining portfolio remains largely negative. U.S. Energy Information Administration | Short-Term Energy Outlook April 2021 2 • EIA expects global oil inventories to fall by 1.8 million b/d in the first half of 2021. You may opt-out by. One important caveat, though: Rystad adds that the shale business might not reach record-setting revenue until 2022 due to losses suffered in hedging programs that tie some companies’ production to lower than current market prices. Corporation announced a $2.925 billion takeover of privately-held Alta Resources, a move that will provide EQT with a large footprint in the Marcellus Shale region sweet spot in Northeast Pennsylvania. Demand - After a 4% drop in 2020, natural gas demand is expected to progressively recover in 2021 as consumption returns close to its pre-crisis level in mature markets, while emerging markets benefit from economic rebound and lower natural gas prices. International business intelligence firm Rystad Energy projects it could be the biggest year yet for U.S. shale. The MarketWatch News Department was not involved in the creation of this content. production/supply, natural gas, liquid fuels, crude oil, oil/petroleum, Have a question, comment, or suggestion for a future article? Companies are still struggling to generate breakeven cash flow, which resulted in a brief wave of mergers and acquisitions (M&A) in the U.S. upstream space. Global oil demand fell by 25% in April, but it has rebounded sharply since then, cutting its losses to just 8%. EQT In 2020, marketed natural gas production fell by 2% from 2019 levels amid responses to COVID-19. Tools to customize searches, view specific data sets, study detailed documentation, and access time-series data. The domestic oil and gas boom of 2021 continues into May, driven by strong crude oil prices that most analysts think will get stronger, recovering global … On Thursday, Pittsburgh-based EQT Regarding their own business outlook for 2021, about 70 percent are neutral (38 percent) or positive (33 percent), while nearly one-third are negative. What does this mean for the oil and gas (O&G) industry? The Zacks Oil and Gas - Drilling industry is an 8-stock group within the broader Zacks Oil - Energy sector. In 2021, as renewable penetration on the grid increases, green hydrogen development is expected to follow because of its potential to act as seasonal storage of fuel available on demand to generate power for grid balancing. How big could it become? Fuel, nuclear reactors, generation, spent fuel BETA experience 8, 2021 EIA ’ s medium-term! 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